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Taupo

Today, Flat1m1fSoft

MUSTANG MORGAN (2) has found it hard to win another race, but is showing signs of improvement since relocating back to the NZ arm of the Forsman barn, finishing third as the favourite at Trentham just over 3 weeks ago. The step up to a middle distance is the key, and he is ready to win a race like this. SHAMWARI (4) won his maiden at his penultimate start, before having a tough trip and failing to fire last time out at Whanganui just over 5 weeks ago. The extra 400m is in his favour, and he is worth another chance. TAKE ON (6) has been a beaten favourite in all of his last 3 starts, finding the line too late on each occasion. If he strikes a wet track, he can figure in the top 3. Follow your money. INCREDIBLE (1) drops back in class after a couple of fair efforts at BM75 level further North. He is unbeaten in 2 starts on this track, and a form reversal is expected. TOP DOLLAR (5) battled on strongly for fourth at Trentham last start when looking for more ground. Stick with him.

  • 2. Mustang Morgan
  • 4. Shamwari
  • 6. Take On
Win Only
  • 2. 2. Mustang Morgan
    J: CRAIG GRYLLST: ANDREW FORSMAN
    F: 88x63
    Price History:
    2.50
    Age:
    4
    Weight:
    1-13
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    65
    Days Since Last Run:
    22
    Verdict
    Third-up today and won third-up previously. First-up crossed from a wide gate to settle just off the pace but gave ground when 6th of 14 at Pukekohe on November 22 over 1400m, on a slow track; 4 len behind Sista Sugar with 60kg at $19.30. Last start sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 14 at Trentham on December 6 over 1600m, slow going 0.9 len behind Knickerless with 60kg at $3.70. Fitter now and making headway. Looks ready to win.
  • 1. 1. Incredible
    J: MATT CARTWRIGHTT: LANCE O'SULLIVAN & ANDREW SCOTT
    F: 15x08
    Price History:
    -
    Age:
    5
    Weight:
    1-13
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    65
    Days Since Last Run:
    15
    Verdict
    Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. Resuming 14th of 16 at Ellerslie on October 25 over 1400m, slow going 5.5 len behind Hinekaha carrying 55.5kg at $28.70. Last start 8th of 13 at Te Rapa on December 13 over 1500m, on a slow track; 6 len behind She's A Dealer with 56kg at $38.30. Capable enough and should be in the finish.
  • 5. 5. Top Dollar
    J: OPIE BOSSONT: SHAUNE RITCHIE & COLM MURRAY
    F: 31084
    Price History:
    -
    Age:
    4
    Weight:
    1-12
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    61
    Days Since Last Run:
    14
    Verdict
    Most recently 4th of 13 at Trentham on December 14 over 1600m, 2.75 len behind Piercing Arrow with 58kg at $9.90. The start before that 8th of 12 at Pukekohe on November 8 over 1500m, 7 len behind Pax Mundi carrying 56.5kg at $13.30. Shapes up nicely.
  • 3. 3. Can Do
    J: MASAHIRO HASHIZUMET: PETER AND TRENT DIDHAM
    F: 46312
    Price History:
    -
    Age:
    4
    Weight:
    1-13
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    64
    Days Since Last Run:
    22
    Verdict
    Recent form sound. Last start made ground from midfield; 2nd of 12 at Trentham on December 6 over 1600m, on a slow track; neck behind Girl Talk with 58.5kg at $8.80. The start before that ran on from midfield and won by 2.25 len at Tauherenikau November 9 over 1600m on a soft track defeating Nightowl carrying 54.5kg at $3. Doesn’t need to improve much to play a big role.
  • 4. 4. Shamwari
    J: JOE DOYLET: MARK FORBES
    F: 4x510
    Price History:
    11.00
    Age:
    4
    Weight:
    1-12
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    61
    Days Since Last Run:
    36
    Verdict
    Comes off a 36 day let-up. Most recently 12th of 14 at Wanganui on November 22 over 1600m, on a slow track; 11 len behind Blue Jeanie with 58.5kg at $5.30. The start before that won by 3 len at New Plymouth Raceway November 5 over 1600m defeating Rocka Philly with 58.5kg at $4.70. Terrific chance to return to form.
  • 6. 6. Take On
    J: KELLY MYERST: KEVIN MYERS
    F: x3465
    Price History:
    12.00
    Age:
    7
    Weight:
    1-12
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    59
    Days Since Last Run:
    18
    Verdict
    Last start from last on the turn 5th of 9 at Tauherenikau on December 10 over 2050m, slow going 4 len behind Highly Lethal carrying 56.5kg at $3.60. The run before that 6th of 16 at Riccarton Park on November 12 over 2600m, on a slow track; 4 len behind Unleash The Beast carrying 58.5kg at $4.60. Has ability and can run a forward race.
  • 7. 7. Glorafilia
    J: HAYLEY HASSMANT: HOLLIE WYNYARD
    F: 04546
    Price History:
    -
    Age:
    6
    Weight:
    1-12
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    62
    Days Since Last Run:
    42
    Verdict
    Comes here off a 42-day let-up. At the latest run 6th of 12 at Arawa Park on November 16 over 1950m, slow going 2 len behind In A Pickle with 54.5kg at $10.10. The race before that 4th of 13 at Arawa Park on October 12 over 1950m, in the wet; 4 len behind Overrated with 55kg at $9.50. Should go well.
  • 9. 9. Zacabasso
    J: WARREN KENNEDYT: GRAHAM RICHARDSON & ROGAN NORVALL
    F: 48510
    Price History:
    -
    Age:
    5
    Weight:
    1-11
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    61
    Days Since Last Run:
    15
    Verdict
    Last start 11th of 13 at Te Rapa on December 13 over 2200m, slow going 8 len behind Ortem Legacy carrying 56.5kg at $24.50. The race before that was well back until straightening; raced back then made ground from the turn; won by 1.3 len at Tauranga November 15 over 2100m in soft going defeating Our Shocks carrying 56.5kg at $3.80. Has ability but others are better placed.
  • 10. 10. Orange River
    J: JASMINE FAWCETTT: GRAEME & DEBBIE ROGERSON
    F: 25940
    Price History:
    -
    Age:
    4
    Weight:
    1-10
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    57
    Days Since Last Run:
    8
    Verdict
    Most recently sat behind the speed prior to fading to run last of 12 at Te Rapa on December 20 over 2400m, slow going 26 len behind Proboy with 54.5kg at $41.70. The run before that got back early 4th in a small field at Ellerslie on December 11 over 2100m, slow going 5.5 len behind Elton Rocks with 57.5kg at $11. Struggling to make an impact lately and others appeal more.
Non-Runners
  • 8. Predecessor
    J: COURTNEY BARNEST: JOSHUA SHAW
    F: 6x109
    Price History:
    -
    Age:
    5
    Weight:
    1-11
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    61
    Days Since Last Run:
    9
    Verdict
    At the latest run second last of 10 at Otaki on December 19 over 2100m, on a slow track; 7 len behind Semper Magico carrying 54kg at $36.50. The race before that eased back early on 11th of 14 at Wanganui on November 22 over 1600m, on a slow track; 10 len behind Blue Jeanie carrying 54.5kg at $35.50. Struggling to make a case.

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