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Avoca

Today, Flat5f
Verdict

AMBELLO (1) does not win often, but is creeping closer after being beaten by a nose at Coleraine just over 3 weeks ago. He drops down further in class, and should just about go one better. NICKING GRACIE (7) will be peaking third up from a spell, and dons the blinkers for the first time for this marginally easier assignment. She benefits from a 1.5kg claim, and she has a good chance to break her win drought in this. ARABIAN MYTH (2) resumes from a spell at an easier level, and a recent jump-out will ensure that he can be competitive fresh up in this. Check the markets. DANERICH DAN (3) will have no fitness concerns fourth up from a spell, and this veteran has his best chance in a while to show some worthwhile form again. Include. GRUMPYOLDCOL (6) had a tough trip last time out at Donald, and he will be hoping for some better luck here, albeit from another wide draw. Include in all combos.

  • 1. Ambello
  • 7. Nicking Gracie
  • 2. Arabian Myth
Win Only
  • 1. 1. Ambello
    J: CAMPBELL RAWILLERT: NELL CARTER
    F: 68542
    Price History:
    2.63
    Age:
    7
    Weight:
    1-13
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    52
    Days Since Last Run:
    22
    Verdict
    Form hard to fault. Last start tried to lead throughout but was claimed late 2nd of 10 in a 0 - 56 at Coleraine on September 25 over 1000m, nose behind Flying Straz with 58kg at $2.45. The start before that 4th in a small field in a 0 - 56 at Casterton on August 9 over 1200m, on a slow track; 12 len behind Hughie with 68.5kg at $3.80. Strong chance from a low draw.
  • 7. 7. Nicking Gracie
    J: SARAH FIELDT: TORI MADIGAN
    F: 03x55
    Price History:
    5.00
    Age:
    7
    Weight:
    1-12
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    50
    Days Since Last Run:
    27
    Verdict
    Third-up today. First-up 5th of 11 in a 0 - 56 at Warracknabeal on August 29 over 1200m, 4.5 len behind Chosen Venture with 55.5kg at $10. Second-up 5th of 12 in a 0 - 56 at Bairnsdale on September 20 over 1200m, 1.4 len behind Punic War carrying 55kg at $7. Capable of a better showing. Best chance in a long time to find the winner's circle.
  • 2. 2. Arabian Myth
    J: JACK MARTINT: VINCENT HALL
    F: 0958x
    Price History:
    6.00
    Age:
    5
    Weight:
    1-13
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    52
    Days Since Last Run:
    104
    Verdict
    Resumes after a break of three-and-a-half months and has been in the money when fresh before. Finished off last preparation eighth of 12 at Bendigo Bm62 July 5 over 1300m, in the wet; 10 len behind Magnetic Chess with 53kg at $41. Previously first up; fourth of 12 at Wangaratta 0 - 56 May 3 over 1100m, soft track; 3.5 len behind Melodee Rose with 59.5kg at $14. Has ability and worth keeping safe.
  • 4. 4. Soobooma
    J: JACK HILLT: KASEY BESANKO
    F: 95885
    Price History:
    6.00
    Age:
    8
    Weight:
    1-13
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    49
    Days Since Last Run:
    28
    Verdict
    At the latest run 5th of 11 in a 0 - 56 at Echuca on September 19 over 1009m, 1.5 len behind Attaboom with 57.5kg at $7. The start before that raced on the speed throughout before fading ran second last of 9 in a 0-56 at Geelong on August 28 over 1247m, on a slow track; 7 len behind Ranakye carrying 57.5kg at $17. Among the chances on his best form.
  • 6. 6. Grumpyoldcol
    J: TOM MADDENT: RACHEL SAMSONENKO
    F: x5036
    Price History:
    9.50
    Age:
    4
    Weight:
    1-12
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    47
    Days Since Last Run:
    35
    Verdict
    Returns from a 35-day let-up. Most recently raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 6th of 11 in a 0 - 56 at Donald on September 12 over 1200m, 4.5 len behind Brutal World carrying 56kg at $18. The race before that raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 7 in a 0 - 56 at Warracknabeal on August 29 over 1000m, 0.6 len behind Simply Luscious carrying 56kg at $9.50. Better placed and expected to go bounce back.
  • 3. 3. Danerich Dan
    J: DYLAN DUNNT: RAY BESANKO
    F: 7x767
    Price History:
    12.00
    Age:
    9
    Weight:
    1-13
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    50
    Days Since Last Run:
    35
    Verdict
    Returns from a 35-day let-up. At the latest run 7th of 11 in a 0 - 56 at Donald on September 12 over 1200m, 4.5 len behind Brutal World with 54.5kg at $26. The race before that sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 6th of 10 in a 0 - 56 at Hamilton on August 1 over 1400m, on rain affected going; 4 len behind Unamerican carrying 54.5kg at $18. Prepared to include to be safe.
  • 9. 9. Party At Arties
    J: CARLEEN HEFELT: CHRIS CALTHORPE
    F: 39887
    Price History:
    15.00
    Age:
    7
    Weight:
    1-11
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    43
    Days Since Last Run:
    34
    Verdict
    Comes here off a 34-day let-up. At the latest run ran last of 7 in a 0 - 56 at Kilmore on September 13 over 1450m, on a slow track; 8 len behind Sensational Ruler carrying 51.5kg at $11. Before that 8th of 10 in a 0 - 56 at Warracknabeal on August 29 over 1600m, 5.5 len behind Surfy Pete with 54.5kg at $11. Unlikely to threaten.
  • 8. 8. Squagaga
    J: JAMIE GIBBONST: RODNEY FOSTER
    F: 48486
    Price History:
    21.00
    Age:
    7
    Weight:
    1-11
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    44
    Days Since Last Run:
    10
    Verdict
    At the latest run sat on the speed and boxed on steadily ran second last of 7 in a Bm62 at Mt Gambier on October 7 over 1200m, slow going 5.5 len behind Port Louis with 54.5kg at $71. The race before that 8th of 10 in a Bm45 at Jerilderie on September 26 over 1200m, 5 len behind Gargantuan with 59.5kg at $7. Prefer to see him back in form.
  • 10. 10. Reward With A Rose
    J: VALENTIN LE BOEUFT: BARRY AINSWORTH
    F: 08086
    Price History:
    31.00
    Age:
    6
    Weight:
    1-11
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    43
    Days Since Last Run:
    7
    Verdict
    At the latest run 6th of 10 in a Bm52 at Manangatang on October 10 over 1175m, 4.5 len behind The Mount carrying 55kg at $81. The race before that got back early 8th of 10 in a 0 - 56 at Coleraine on September 25 over 1000m, 5.5 len behind Flying Straz carrying 54kg at $81. Hard to make a case.
  • 11. 11. Padstow Polly
    J: JADE SMITHT: STEPHEN LENEHAN
    F: 9x985
    Price History:
    71.00
    Age:
    9
    Weight:
    1-11
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    42
    Days Since Last Run:
    28
    Verdict
    Last start ran last in a small field in a Bm58 at Pooncarie on September 19 over 1000m, 6 len behind Winning Aura carrying 54kg at $8.50. The run before that ran second last of 9 in a 0 - 56 at Donald on September 12 over 1000m, 5 len behind Flying Straz carrying 54kg at $101. Needs to do more.

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