pokercasinosports

Belmont

Today, Flat4f
Verdict

NICCIMOTA (1) is the clear starting point after being pipped by Pingers in a BM66+ at this track, and that form reads strongly back to CL5 company. She has an excellent 1000m profile, and the 3kg claim helps offset the 61kg impost. Can sit handy and will take catching. CANNYKEV (2) brings a genuine counter-case, with his Ascot sixth better than it looks after racing wide throughout, and his record with Natika Riordan gives him a reliable platform. Should lob in a lovely spot and make his presence felt. RAW UMBER (5) was trending the right way before tackling a 3YO Open race behind Roger last start. Tongue tie goes on now and back to this level makes him very appealing. KING'S DRAMA (3) comes through the same Ascot BM66+ as Cannykev and ran the sharper race there, finishing strongly to be beaten a neck, so he has to be included. BLUE CAN TALK (8) is better suited here and has claims on his recent form.

  • 1. Niccimota
  • 2. Cannykev
  • 5. Raw Umber
Win Only
  • 1. 1. Niccimota
    J: SHARNI WEBSTERT: JIM P TAYLOR
    F: x1352
    Price History:
    2.40
    Age:
    5
    Weight:
    2-0
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    74
    Days Since Last Run:
    47
    Verdict
    Resumes after two months off the back of a strong BM66+ second at this track, where she travelled smoothly on soft ground and was only pipped late by Pingers. She had charged home from the rear when favourite in BM72+ company the start prior, so the drop back to Class 5 company is significant. The class drop and 3kg claim make her the one to beat.
  • 2. 2. Cannykev
    J: NATIKA RIORDANT: SEAN & JAKE CASEY
    F: x4566
    Price History:
    4.00
    Age:
    5
    Weight:
    1-12
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    68
    Days Since Last Run:
    12
    Verdict
    Had more merit than sixth suggests at Ascot last start, beaten just over a length in a BM66+ after racing wide throughout. His Kalgoorlie run prior was plain on paper, but he was still near the top of an open market and not disgraced. Back in grade and reunites with a rider who has won three on him.
  • 5. 5. Raw Umber
    J: CHRIS PARNHAMT: SIMON A MILLER
    F: 8119
    Price History:
    6.00
    Age:
    3
    Weight:
    1-11
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    67
    Days Since Last Run:
    19
    Verdict
    Was outclassed in Open grade at Ascot last start, finishing second last and beaten over 12 lengths after leading and fading, with an awkward jump noted. His win before that at this track in NMW1Y grade was much better, leading and beating Rocktex by just over a length as favourite. Earlier win at this track keeps him in play.
  • 3. 3. Kings Drama
    J: STEVEN PARNHAMT: CHRIS & MICHAEL GANGEMI
    F: 44852
    Price History:
    7.50
    Age:
    5
    Weight:
    1-12
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    67
    Days Since Last Run:
    12
    Verdict
    Produced his best recent run when second to Keep Reading in a BM66+ at Ascot, finishing strongly from the rear and beating Cannykev home. The start prior he worked home well over 1200m in a 1 Metro Win at long odds, so the form is trending the right way. Wide draw and modest track-and-trip record make him more place than win.
  • 8. 8. Blue Can Talk
    J: HOLLY NOTTLET: NEIL DELLAR
    F: 17954
    Price History:
    8.50
    Age:
    7
    Weight:
    1-10
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    58
    Days Since Last Run:
    19
    Verdict
    Was better than the market expected at Ascot last start, finishing fourth at big odds and beaten just under two lengths despite being steadied early and held up near the 200m. Her Bunbury fifth prior was honest enough in NMW1Y grade. Track-and-trip winner with a claim, so she can land in the placings.
  • 7. 7. Lifeisbutadream
    J: HOLLY WATSONT: JAYSON HINES
    F: x9x5x
    Price History:
    9.00
    Age:
    6
    Weight:
    1-11
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    61
    Days Since Last Run:
    197
    Verdict
    Returns from an eight-month break with a close second in her latest trial at this venue, which gives her a measured fitness pointer. Her last campaign produced a fair fifth at Ascot in Class 3 company and a second-last over this trip, but she is a proven track-and-distance winner. Track-and-trip win gives her place claims fresh.
  • 6. 6. Rodney Oh Rodney
    J: BRAYDEN GAERTHT: JIM ENRIGHT
    F: 7915x
    Price History:
    41.00
    Age:
    5
    Weight:
    1-11
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    63
    Days Since Last Run:
    127
    Verdict
    Returns from a five-month break after being beaten just over a length at this track on heavy ground, where he led before tiring and hung out in the straight. He had won at Bunbury the run prior at big odds, but that came in a previous campaign and his fresh readiness is not supported by a trial note here. Has speed and past wins, but this looks a tough fresh assignment.
  • 9. 9. Storm Lord
    J: SHAUN O'DONNELLT: TINA GLASSON
    F: 06352
    Price History:
    41.00
    Age:
    8
    Weight:
    1-10
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    58
    Days Since Last Run:
    12
    Verdict
    Placed in a small BM56+ field at Collie last start, but this is a harder meeting and he was still beaten just under three lengths after settling back. His Ascot fifth prior had some merit at big odds, though he has been unplaced in all four starts at this track and distance. Weight relief helps, but he must improve.
  • 4. 4. Repeater
    J: JESSICA GRAYT: PETER BAMFORD
    F: 88185
    Price History:
    71.00
    Age:
    6
    Weight:
    1-12
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    66
    Days Since Last Run:
    19
    Verdict
    Has been well held at his past two country starts, most recently fifth at Leinster when beaten just over eight lengths in a BM64+. He was also last at Leonora two back, well beaten by 23 lengths after being prominent in the betting. The race grade eases, but this is a harder meeting and his 1000m record gives little comfort. Has to find a much sharper sprinting run.
Win or Each Way
Each Way terms: 1/5 odds for first 3 places

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