pokercasinosports

Northam

Today, Flat5f
Verdict

ONE LAST RESORT (1) gets the nod fresh on the strength of his Belmont Mdn second last campaign, when well-supported and beaten half a length before tackling the Karrakatta Plate before a spell. His trial this time in was good around Blue Destiny and with a favourable set up here, he can resume on a winning note. YAMANEX (5) is the race-fit danger, third-up after a close Open fifth over 1400m at Belmont. Back to easier company here and dropping to a sprint trip looks to hold the key. BLUE DESTINY (4) brings no race experience but has won three trials, including a recent 1000m Belmont heat, so he profiles as the debutant with the clearest winning profile. BEYOND A DOUBT (2) resumes off two winter placings, including an Open third behind Farnova on heavy ground, and a solid Lark Hill trial keeps him in the mix as a reliable place-to-win chance. BELLA ROCCIA (7) can feature from an inside draw.

  • 1. One Last Resort
  • 5. Yamanex
  • 4. Blue Destiny
R4 1100m Mdn
  • 4. 4. Blue Destiny
    J: JARRAD NOSKET: TIARNNA NOSKE
    Price History:
    1.91
    Age:
    3
    Weight:
    1-12
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    0
    Days Since Last Run:
    0
    Verdict
    Debuts with a convincing trial profile, having won all three public trials, the latest over 1000m at Belmont Park by 0.59L only 16 days ago. Earlier Lark Hill wins over 950m and 400m add to the sense he has been well educated, and barrier 3 gives him a suitable launch point for Jarrad Noske. Has looked very impressive leading into this and he can make an immediate impact.
  • 5. 5. Yamanex
    J: STEVEN PARNHAMT: JOSH BROWN
    F: 80x25
    Price History:
    3.50
    Age:
    3
    Weight:
    1-11
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    61
    Days Since Last Run:
    19
    Verdict
    Comes in third-up after finishing fifth in an Open at Belmont Park over 1400m, beaten a length and a half by Roger after being close enough but not going on with it. Her first-up second to Swift Ruler in another Open on soft ground was the better pointer, and this is easier company than the Saturday race she tackled last time. Comes back in grade now and looks the main danger.
  • 1. 1. One Last Resort
    J: NATIKA RIORDANT: SEAN & JAKE CASEY
    F: 2x20x
    Price History:
    7.50
    Age:
    3
    Weight:
    1-12
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    62
    Days Since Last Run:
    180
    Verdict
    Returns from a lengthy spell after ending last campaign down the track in the G2 Karrakatta Plate at Ascot, beaten over 11 lengths at big odds behind Afireofgidgeecoals. The stronger pointer is his previous Mdn second at Belmont Park, where he was well-supported favourite and beaten half a length by Cos I Am. Nice trial coming in and he can land the knockout blow.
  • 2. 2. Beyond A Doubt
    J: LUCY FIORET: MICHELLE HAGLEY
    F: x223x
    Price History:
    8.50
    Age:
    3
    Weight:
    1-12
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    60
    Days Since Last Run:
    110
    Verdict
    Returns from a four-month break after a genuine third at his final run of last campaign in Open company at Belmont Park, beaten two lengths on heavy ground by Farnova after finishing strongly. He had earlier been favourite when second in a Bunbury Mdn and again found one better, so the form is honest without being decisive. Form was good last campaign without winning and he can land the knockout blow.
  • 7. 7. Bella Roccia
    J: CHRIS PARNHAMT: SIMON A MILLER
    F: 2x
    Price History:
    9.50
    Age:
    3
    Weight:
    1-11
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    56
    Days Since Last Run:
    134
    Verdict
    Returns from a five-month break after a promising debut second in a Belmont Park Mdn, beaten just under a length by Ace Queen Suited on soft ground. She was slow to begin, settled rearward and still picked up impressively, which gives the run more substance than a simple placing. Fitter for a recent trial and the inside draw can see her right in the mix.
  • 8. 8. Luminous Lil
    J: SHAUN MCGRUDDYT: DAVID HARRISON
    F: 3x
    Price History:
    13.00
    Age:
    3
    Weight:
    1-11
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    56
    Days Since Last Run:
    196
    Verdict
    Returns from a lengthy spell after debuting with a third at Belmont Park, beaten just under two lengths behind Cos I Am when near the top of betting. She worked home evenly rather than sharply there and also finished behind One Last Resort, who is a key rival again. Debut third was honest, but she must find more against key rivals.
  • 10. 10. Call Me Hush
    J: HOLLY NOTTLET: TAKAHIDE IKENUSHI
    Price History:
    51.00
    Age:
    3
    Weight:
    1-11
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    0
    Days Since Last Run:
    0
    Verdict
    Makes her debut after two Lark Hill trial seconds, the latest over 930m beaten 0.51L only 10 days ago. The family gives her some depth, with Diamond Rhyme a Listed Supremacy Stakes placegetter and several city-winning relatives, while the trainer-sire combination has placed 16 from 43. Won't be far away.
  • 9. 9. Splinterfly
    J: CLINT JOHNSTON-PORTERT: JAYCE BUCKLEY
    F: 0x6x
    Price History:
    67.00
    Age:
    3
    Weight:
    1-11
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    0
    Days Since Last Run:
    110
    Verdict
    Returns from a four-month break after finishing sixth at her final run of last campaign at Belmont Park on heavy ground, beaten just over seven lengths behind Farnova when unwanted in the market. Her debut at Ascot was also well held, although she raced wide throughout there. Has to show far more under race pressure.
  • 3. 3. Capall Gasta
    J: JEFFERSON TSANGT: DANIEL O'CONNOR
    F: 97842
    Price History:
    67.00
    Age:
    3
    Weight:
    1-12
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    60
    Days Since Last Run:
    17
    Verdict
    Went close at Bunbury last start, beaten a neck by Andalady at long odds, and the effort had merit after racing wide throughout. His previous fourth at Bunbury also had a traffic excuse near the 200m, so the recent form is better than the market expected. Others make more appeal.
  • 11. 11. Marlaina Miss
    J: CHANEL COOPERT: ROBERT GULBERTI
    Price History:
    81.00
    Age:
    3
    Weight:
    1-11
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    0
    Days Since Last Run:
    0
    Verdict
    Debuts with first-time blinkers and a visor applied, plus a 1.5kg claim for Chanel Cooper, so the stable is giving her some assistance at the first outing. Her latest Lark Hill trial third was beaten 3.66L and the earlier trials were moderate, though the family includes city winners My Marlaina and My Laina. Happy to bet around her on debut.
  • 6. 6. Chandra
    J: HOLLY WATSONT: LUKE FERNIE
    F: 28
    Price History:
    201.00
    Age:
    3
    Weight:
    1-11
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    56
    Days Since Last Run:
    11
    Verdict
    Had her chance at this track last start when second last, beaten just over three lengths by Firearm after racing keenly early and failing to finish off. Her debut second at this venue behind Reginetta showed some ability, closing strongly from the back at generous odds, and she is now third-up. Has to find a stronger finish.
Win or Each Way
Each Way terms: 1/5 odds for first 3 places

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