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Bathurst

Today, Flat5f
Verdict

ABSTRUSE (4) is the obvious threat after missing by a nose at Cootamundra, where she had Marine Girl behind her, and her Moruya BM58 win prior showed she is racing in genuine form. Can put her best foot forward again. MARINE GIRL (11) has been close enough at Cootamundra and Corowa to be a serious player, though she has to turn the tables on Abstruse. That looks the right form for this race however. BEAUMISTA (5) was a clear second at Dubbo on soft ground and brings consistent recent ratings, but the four-length margin leaves him more a solid winning hope than a standout. HANUMAN (8) can bring up the hat-trick without surprising.

  • 4. Abstruse
  • 11. Marine Girl
  • 5. Beaumista
Win Only
  • 8. 8. Hanuman
    J: WINONA COSTINT: MACK GRIFFITH
    F: 02511
    Price History:
    2.88
    Age:
    5
    Weight:
    1-13
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    61
    Days Since Last Run:
    31
    Verdict
    Back after one month following a soft-ground Wellington win, where he was favourite and scored by just over two lengths with plenty left. That backed up a BM58 win at this track on heavy ground, beating Street Parade after leading and finishing strongly. Rates highly on his recent wins and can extend that streak.
  • 4. 4. Abstruse
    J: BRODIE LOYT: NATALIE JARVIS
    F: 81912
    Price History:
    4.75
    Age:
    6
    Weight:
    2-0
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    70
    Days Since Last Run:
    12
    Verdict
    Went within a nose of winning at Cootamundra last start, travelling well and finishing strongly behind Paparazzo. That followed a BM58 win at Moruya where she came from the rear and beat Curly Bend by a length with something in hand. Recent form is very strong and she looks to get her chance again from a good draw.
  • 5. 5. Beaumista
    J: OLIVIA DALTONT: SIMON CASEY
    F: 04292
    Price History:
    5.50
    Age:
    5
    Weight:
    1-13
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    65
    Days Since Last Run:
    14
    Verdict
    Worked into the race at Dubbo last start but could not close the margin on Angie's Sister, finishing second and beaten four lengths on soft ground. Two back at Newcastle he was ninth over 1250m after settling well back and keeping on without threatening. May be better suited coming out in trip now and he can go one better without surprising.
  • 12. 12. Miss Capricorn
    J: MIKAYLA WEIRT: CONNIE GREIG
    F: x5763
    Price History:
    8.00
    Age:
    7
    Weight:
    1-11
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    60
    Days Since Last Run:
    14
    Verdict
    Ran third at Dubbo last start but was beaten just over four lengths after beginning slowly and being steadied mid-race, and the market gave her little support. The previous Wellington run had some merit from the back, though she still finished sixth behind Hanuman. Not here.
  • 3. 3. Violet And Blue
    J: DEON LE ROUXT: KATHRYN CAHILL
    F: 4x626
    Price History:
    9.50
    Age:
    7
    Weight:
    2-0
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    72
    Days Since Last Run:
    19
    Verdict
    Made ground from the back in Open company at Dubbo last start after being bumped and later meeting interference, finishing sixth at big odds. Her previous Narromine second over 800m on soft ground was much sharper, beaten just over half a length after racing prominently. Still has to lift from a patchy recent pattern.
  • 11. 11. Marine Girl
    J: SHAUN GUYMERT: NICK OLIVE
    F: x2554
    Price History:
    10.00
    Age:
    5
    Weight:
    1-11
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    60
    Days Since Last Run:
    12
    Verdict
    Was only beaten a length and a half at Cootamundra last start, but raced keenly throughout and could not finish off after sitting close enough. She had earlier been fair to the line at Corowa when fifth behind Narcissist and was near the top of betting there. Has to turn the tables on Abstruse, but her recent form is good enough.
  • 10. 10. Beauty Edge
    J: CLAYTON GALLAGHERT: CLINT LUNDHOLM
    F: 7x855
    Price History:
    12.00
    Age:
    6
    Weight:
    1-12
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    59
    Days Since Last Run:
    14
    Verdict
    Has finished fifth at his past two runs and was beaten just under five lengths at Dubbo last start after getting every chance near the speed. Two back at Wellington he was beaten four and a half lengths behind Hanuman and again failed to go on with it. Others appeal more.
  • 2. 2. Keadool
    J: ZOE HUNTT: CLINT LUNDHOLM
    F: 1x870
    Price History:
    12.00
    Age:
    5
    Weight:
    2-0
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    69
    Days Since Last Run:
    19
    Verdict
    Had genuine excuses in Open grade at Dubbo last start, being bumped early and covering ground before fading to tenth, beaten six and a half lengths. He was only battling at Moree the run prior, also in Open company, so the recent form still reads plain. Happy to look elsewhere.
  • 6. 6. Missile Defence
    J: DALE COLET: ANDREW BOURKE
    F: 1418x
    Price History:
    21.00
    Age:
    6
    Weight:
    1-13
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    64
    Days Since Last Run:
    96
    Verdict
    Returns from a four-month break after ending last preparation with an eighth at Narrandera in a CG BM58, where he raced wide and was beaten four and a half lengths. The run prior was much better, winning a BM58 at Goulburn by just under three lengths from Chairman's List on soft ground. Goulburn BM58 win last campaign reads well enough, and his track record keeps him in the place mix.
  • 7. 7. Line Of Law
    J: IZZY NEALET: CONNIE GREIG
    F: 79x31
    Price History:
    23.00
    Age:
    6
    Weight:
    1-13
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    66
    Days Since Last Run:
    19
    Verdict
    Produced as the prohibitive odds-on favourite at Dubbo last start and won an Open by a length and a half from Bobby's Secret, carrying 63kg. She drops 4kg from that run and is now third-up, which are both positives. Strong 1100m record makes her a live place hope.
Non-Runners
  • 13. 13. Salmas Star
    J: -T: GREGORY MCFARLANE
    F: 5357x
    Price History:
    15.00
    Age:
    4
    Weight:
    1-11
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    57
    Days Since Last Run:
    90
  • 1. 1. Glowing Rapids
    J: JESS DEL FRARIT: MELISSA HARRISON
    F: 39119
    Price History:
    23.00
    Age:
    6
    Weight:
    2-1
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    71
    Days Since Last Run:
    25
    Verdict
    Led at Narromine last start over 1300m but raced keenly through the middle stages and tired late, finishing ninth and beaten just under five lengths. The previous run was a Mendooran win by a neck from He's My Warrior, so there is some recent winning form. Proven at this track and distance, but a sharper finish is required.

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