Newcastle

Tomorrow, October 17, 2026Flat1m1fSoft

Verdict

LEICA STORM (2) has been heavily backed in his last 4 starts after resuming from a very long spell with a third at Kembla Grange at the start of the season. He tried hard on the Kenso track at Randwick 10 days ago when finishing runner-up as the favourite by half a length, and in this even field, he is set to go one better. FREDDIE BASSETT (3) battled away gamely fresh up over 1500m here a fortnight ago when needing the run, and the immediate step up to 1900m is ideal for this progressive gelding. He has 4.5kg less to carry this time, and can figure in the top 3. AGITA (4) should be at his peak fitness now, and will notice the drop in class. Keagan Latham has won all of his 3 starts on this gelding, and with his return to the saddle, he should be very competitive. Each way. BLENHEIM GIRL (7) found trouble when making her run at Rosehill last start, and still motored home to finish second. Stick with her, especially if it is wet. CAN'T RECALL ONE (8) had an excuse last start. Include.

Leica Storm
Freddie Bassett
Agita

Win Only

2. Leica Storm
J: AARON BULLOCKT: MATTHEW SMITH
F: 33452
Price History:
2.88
Age:
7
Weight:
1-13
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
67
Days Since Last Run:
10
Verdict
Most recently held ground to the line 2nd of 9 in a 5yo+ Bm72 at Randwick Kensington on October 7 over 1800m, on a slow track; 0.5 len behind Off The Scale with 58.5kg at $3.50. The race before that 5th of 10 in a Cg&E Bm72 at Warwick Farm on September 23 over 1600m, on a slow track; 1.0 len behind Botanical Boy with 58.5kg at $4.40. One of the main top 3 hopes.
6. Sumac
J: JEFF PENZAT: LEE & CHERIE CURTIS
F: 7x675
Price History:
3.50
Age:
3
Weight:
1-11
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
71
Days Since Last Run:
14
Verdict
Last start got back early 5th of 7 in the G1 Flight Stakes at Randwick on October 3 over 1600m, on a slow track; 3 len behind Global Goal with 56kg at $91. Before that got back early 7th of 9 in the G2 Tea Rose Stakes at Randwick on September 19 over 1400m, 5 len behind Bangkok Hottie with 56kg at $151. Sure to be prominent.
4. Agita
J: KEAGAN LATHAMT: DAVID PAYNE
F: x6464
Price History:
4.50
Age:
6
Weight:
1-12
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
64
Days Since Last Run:
14
Verdict
Last start 4th of 12 in a Midway Bm72 at Randwick on October 3 over 1800m, on a slow track; 1.75 len behind Philatelic carrying 56.5kg at $26. The run before that 6th of 11 in a Midway Bm72 at Randwick on September 19 over 1600m, 3.5 len behind Barrengarry carrying 57kg at $26. Anticipating a better run here.
5. Saint Emilion
J: WILLIAM STANLEYT: JASON DEAMER
F: 05x77
Price History:
10.00
Age:
5
Weight:
1-12
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
64
Days Since Last Run:
11
Verdict
Dual acceptor. Third-up today and won third-up in the past. First-up sat on the speed throughout before fading 7th of 13 in a Bm64 at this track on September 19 over 1250m, 3.5 len behind Puerto Banus with 59.5kg at $8.50. Second-up 7th of 9 in a 5yo+ Bm64 at this track on October 6 over 1500m, 7 len behind Great Idea carrying 61.5kg at $5.50. Has ability but must improve sharply.
1. Falcon Lair
J: OLIVIA DALTONT: ANNABEL & ROB ARCHIBALD
F: 309x8
Price History:
12.00
Age:
4
Weight:
1-13
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
67
Days Since Last Run:
14
Verdict
Second-up. First-up after four months 8th of 10 in a Cond Bm68 at this track on October 3 over 1300m, 9 len behind Caltsar with 60.5kg at $14. Previously second-up 3rd of 7 in a Bm65 at Canberra on February 20 over 1600m, neck behind Miss Stalwart carrying 59kg at $2.15. Fitter but hard to see him featuring.
3. Freddie Bassett
J: HEAVELON VAN DER HOVENT: ANNABEL & ROB ARCHIBALD
F: 516x5
Price History:
13.00
Age:
4
Weight:
1-12
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
65
Days Since Last Run:
14
Verdict
Second run back. First-up after five months sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 7 in a Cl1 at this track on October 3 over 1500m, 5.5 len behind Wallace Station with 62kg at $11. Previously second-up won by 1.2 len in a Super 3yo Mdn at Warwick Farm on April 15 over 1600m defeating Above The Law with 59kg at $5. Expect some sharp improvement.
8. Can't Recall One
J: ADAM FARRAGHERT: MATTHEW SMITH
F: 00318
Price History:
15.00
Age:
5
Weight:
1-11
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
59
Days Since Last Run:
16
Verdict
Most recently ran second last of 9 in a Bm64 at Illawarra Grange on October 1 over 2000m, 8 len behind Kirkuk with 58.5kg at $6.50. Before that won by a head in a Bm66 at Tuncurry on September 11 over 2100m defeating Sound And Vision carrying 59.5kg at $2.70. Has ability and can make amends.
9. Kosuke
J: MITCHELL BELLT: GREGORY MCFARLANE
F: x9703
Price History:
41.00
Age:
5
Weight:
1-11
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
56
Days Since Last Run:
1
Verdict
Last start ran last of 11 in a Bm64 at this track on September 19 over 2300m, 34 len behind Spenzalot carrying 58.5kg at $11. The race before that got back early 7th of 10 in a Bm64 at Gosford on August 28 over 2070m, on a slow track; 14 len behind Longinus carrying 59.5kg at $20. Low on confidence and hard to recommend.

Non-Runners

7. Blenheim Girl
J: REECE JONEST: CHRIS WALLER
F: 18442
Price History:
4.00
Age:
4
Weight:
1-11
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
63
Days Since Last Run:
17
Verdict
Racing well recently. Last start 2nd of 9 in a Bm72 at Rosehill on September 30 over 1800m, 0.6 len behind Think Itz You carrying 52kg at $8. The race before that ran on strongly from last on the turn; 4th of 11 in a Bm64 at Kembla Grange on September 12 over 1600m, 1.3 len behind Tom Cruising with 57.5kg at $11. One to keep in mind.

Newcastle

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