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Grafton

Tomorrow, Flat1m7fSoft
Verdict

BALMIERRO (3) was unwanted in betting last time but scored easily over 2200m at Scone. Gets in well with the claim and can repeat the dose. MIMESSI (6) improved last time out to score by 1.75 lengths after being in contention on the bend over 2100m at Tamworth. Only has to hold his form to go close to repeating the dose. THUNDERING FALCON (5) is going better than his form reads and will find this easier on the quick back-up. Can play a more significant role this time. VALENTINE JOHN (1) will find this much easier than last start when finishing rearward in the LR Grafton Cup at this track. Backs up rapidly and deserves respect on best figures. BRIGHT THE SUN (4) is forever running on so should be happy to see a longer trip. Not dismissing.

  • 3. Balmierro
  • 6. Mimessi
  • 5. Thundering Falcon
Win Only
  • 4. 4. Bright The Sun
    J: ARCHIE MCCOLMT: STEPHEN & JORDAN LEE
    F: 33708
    Price History:
    4.00
    Age:
    4
    Weight:
    1-12
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    55
    Days Since Last Run:
    14
    Verdict
    Last start got back early 8th of 11 at this track Cup Prel on July 5 over 2230m, slow going 3.5 len behind Rock The Machine with 55kg at $21. The start before that sat on the pace before fading 10th of 15 at Ipswich Bm78 on June 20 over 2500m, on a slow track; 5 len behind Pulveriser carrying 54kg at $101. Worth following up.
  • 3. 3. Balmierro
    J: GRADY SPOKEST: JACOB PERRETT
    F: 80671
    Price History:
    5.00
    Age:
    5
    Weight:
    1-13
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    55
    Days Since Last Run:
    20
    Verdict
    At the latest run won by 2.5 len at Scone Cl1-Sw June 29 over 2200m in soft going defeating Zorko with 59kg at $19. The start before that got back early 7th of 10 at Tamworth Bm66 on June 15 over 2100m, on a slow track; 7 len behind Spenzalot with 55kg at $26. Confidence back and rates highly again.
  • 10. 10. Legs Power
    J: MIKAYLA WEIRT: ANDREW MACDONALD
    F: 43329
    Price History:
    6.50
    Age:
    4
    Weight:
    1-11
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    44
    Days Since Last Run:
    20
    Verdict
    At the latest run 9th of 11 at Scone Cl1-Sw on June 29 over 2200m, on a slow track; 17 len behind Balmierro carrying 56.5kg at $11. The race before that 2nd in a small field at Warren Bm58 on June 1 over 2400m, on a slow track; 3.5 len behind King Cornelius carrying 55kg at $2.80. Not keen on his chances.
  • 8. 8. Papal Miss
    J: BAILEY WHEELERT: VISHAN VENKAYA
    F: 83648
    Price History:
    6.00
    Age:
    7
    Weight:
    1-11
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    48
    Days Since Last Run:
    12
    Verdict
    At the latest run 8th of 12 at Beaudesert Bm65 on July 7 over 2450m, 6 len behind Sunny Disposition with 55kg at $16. The start before that 4th of 10 at Kilcoy 0 - 58 on June 30 over 1900m, on heavy track; 3 len behind Trusty Bandit with 56kg at $3.10. Hard to have on present form.
  • 11. 11. Smelter
    J: FREDERICK LARSONT: NICOLE LUKE
    F: 09446
    Price History:
    8.00
    Age:
    6
    Weight:
    1-11
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    43
    Days Since Last Run:
    12
    Verdict
    Last start from last on the turn 6th of 12 at Beaudesert Bm65 on July 7 over 2450m, 3 len behind Sunny Disposition carrying 54kg at $41. Before that 4th of 7 at Beaudesert Cl1-Sw on June 26 over 2450m, slow going 3 len behind Pending List with 60kg at $6.50. In a suitable race and cannot be underestimated.
  • 5. 5. Thundering Falcon
    J: CASSEY WILLIAMST: ROBERT KNIGHT
    F: 05177
    Price History:
    9.50
    Age:
    4
    Weight:
    1-12
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    51
    Days Since Last Run:
    4
    Verdict
    Most recently 7th of 9 at this track Rural Cl6 on July 15 over 2200m, 8 len behind Barazin with 55kg at $101. Before that 7th of 9 at Tamworth Bm58 on July 3 over 2100m, on rain affected going; 3.5 len behind Mimessi with 55.5kg at $12. Better than that last run suggests.
  • 6. 6. Mimessi
    J: NATHAN THOMAST: PADDY CUNNINGHAM
    F: 03281
    Price History:
    15.00
    Age:
    5
    Weight:
    1-12
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    50
    Days Since Last Run:
    16
    Verdict
    Last start ran on from midfield and won by 1.75 len at Tamworth Bm58 July 3 over 2100m in heavy going defeating Lots To Love carrying 55kg at $19. The start before that ran last of 8 at this track Bm74 (71) on June 6 over 2245m, slow going 10 len behind Ring Ahoy with 52kg at $21. Ideally placed to make it two on the trot.
  • 1. 1. Valentine John
    J: -T: ANTHONY WARREN
    F: x0020
    Price History:
    19.00
    Age:
    6
    Weight:
    2-1
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    62
    Days Since Last Run:
    3
    Verdict
    Last start ran last of 11 at this track in the LR Grafton Cup on July 16 over 2350m, 26 len behind King Pedro carrying 54.5kg at $201. The start before that held ground to the line 2nd of 9 at Goulburn Bm58 on July 3 over 2150m, on a slow track; 1.5 len behind Alnair carrying 60.5kg at $41. Deserves another chance.
  • 9. 9. You Think So
    J: JASON TAYLORT: RUBY CHATTERTON
    F: 0x857
    Price History:
    21.00
    Age:
    4
    Weight:
    1-11
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    48
    Days Since Last Run:
    12
    Verdict
    At the latest run 7th of 12 at Beaudesert Bm65 on July 7 over 2450m, 4 len behind Sunny Disposition with 54kg at $151. The start before that led to the turn then faded 5th of 7 at Beaudesert Cl1-Sw on June 26 over 2450m, on a slow track; 3.5 len behind Pending List carrying 58kg at $21. Expect she will only battle again.
  • 2. 2. Final Chapter
    J: LEANNE BOYDT: CASSANDRA SCHMIDT
    F: 0x048
    Price History:
    23.00
    Age:
    6
    Weight:
    1-13
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    57
    Days Since Last Run:
    4
    Verdict
    Most recently ran second last of 9 at this track Rural Cl6 on July 15 over 2200m, 9 len behind Barazin with 54kg at $101. The start before that 4th of 9 at Taree Bm58 on June 30 over 2000m, on heavy track; 3.5 len behind Farraige with 59kg at $20. Rates highly and is among the chances.
  • 7. 7. Koojan
    J: BEN LOOKERT: RUBY CHATTERTON
    F: x0198
    Price History:
    31.00
    Age:
    4
    Weight:
    1-11
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    48
    Days Since Last Run:
    7
    Verdict
    Most recently 8th of 10 at this track Cl1-Sw on July 12 over 2220m, 7 len behind Frictional Force with 59kg at $51. The start before that raced behind the speed prior to fading to run last of 9 at Ipswich Cl1-Sw on July 3 over 2180m, 14 len behind Firm Agreement with 60kg at $101. Needs to improve on last couple to feature in the finish.
  • 12. 12. Memumza Diva
    J: STEPHEN CUMMINST: LYN THOMSON
    F: x0895
    Price History:
    41.00
    Age:
    6
    Weight:
    1-11
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    40
    Days Since Last Run:
    7
    Verdict
    Last start 5th of 10 at this track Cl1-Sw on July 12 over 2220m, 5 len behind Frictional Force carrying 59kg at $61. The start before that 9th of 11 at Port Macquarie Bm50 on July 4 over 1808m, on a slow track; 7 len behind Farraige carrying 54kg at $71. Not keen on his chances.

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